As someone who had a ticket to last night's ALCS Game 2 at Yankee Stadium, naturally, I was following the weather all day long before leaving for New York at 5 PM. Needless to say, making the trip to New York (by car and train) was a leap of faith, in light of the gloom and doom weather forecasts issued by the National Weather Service all day long.
The NWS insisted that it was going to rain all afternoon and deep into the night in New York. The early morning forecast called for rain developing after noon (80% probability). For Saturday night, the forecast called for a 100% probability of rain. Didn't sound too good for getting the game played, considering the 7:57 PM start time.
But, looking at radar through the afternoon, it seemed fairly obvious that the storm system moving up the coast was a) not developing quite as expected, and b) was having a hard time dislodging the high pressure system that had moved over the northeast early in the day. It was mostly sunny through the morning hours in Connecticut, which should have been the first sign that the computer models were not handling the storm system particularly well. In fact, by 4 PM, the "forecast radar" map from The Weather Channel indicated that rain would not arrive in the Bronx until at least midnight. Nevertheless, the NWS never updated that unfortunate late morning forecast. Judging by the number of empty seats at the Stadium last night, a lot of people decided to stay home, rather than risk spending a lot of money to get to the Stadium and risking a long rain delay or a rainout.
There's a reason why "nowcasting" is often a good thing. The NWS policy of only updating their forecast products in the late morning and early evening certainly did the public a disservice yesterday. By the way, the rain did not actually begin until 11:06 PM, and it was never hard enough to stop play.
